Debt Statements

When i first saw this chart (late last year) it made me blink. Then i forgot about it.

Fitch’s recent revision of it’s UK outlook (zerohedge) put it front of me again. Despite the obvious madness of basing anything on the fiction that is GDP, taken at face value, this chart says some interesting, if not shocking, things:

  • total UK debt (as a percentage of GDP, just imagine i’m saying that after each of these statements…) is roughly twice the level of the EU zone average
  • government debt in Japan is just insane, nobody even comes close to this level of madness
  • Sweden?! Norway?!?! What is going on there?
  • household debt in the EU zone is significantly lower than it’s G10 peers. Wonder where the likes Brazil will fall on this scale?

However, the obvious ‘elephant in the room’ is the debt of the UK financial sector. If it was still possible to imagine a rational financial sector in the UK, one might hope that the debt was money being put to use for productive activities. Of course such musings are now impossible, and we know that it’s propping up a mountain of badly made wagers, using strategies that really only insured that bonus criteria were met, regardless of the long term consequences.

Yes, it’s possible to argue that this wasn’t (isn’t?) universally true, but the aggregate result pretty much negates the need to further debate. They gambled, and lost. Given the propensity of successive UK governments to socialise these losses, the distinction between Government and Financial debt is increasingly blurred.

The continuing failure to regulate, or even attempt to moderate, the sectors excesses means that this debt will hang like a slow burning tire around the neck of the UK for decades…

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The Chilling Effect?

The ripples from the Wikileaks cable releases are still spreading out into the internet. My initial reaction to the behavior of the likes of Mastercard, Visa, Back of America, PayPal, Facebook, Google, was, rather predictably, anger.

That corporations such as Mastercard and Visa should so easily bend to the unexpressed will of the US administration (resisting the urge to call it a regime…) isn’t all that surprising. Given the obvious connections between management at corporations and their “regulators” it would be easy to imagine an informal word being had, through the usual network of contacts. Contact would of course be unofficial, but the expression of displeasure would make it clear enough that action was expected. Which is not to say that all of the actors need to be similarly motivated – BofA probably feels intimidated enough to strike out on it’s own.

PayPal, being rather new new to game, made a mess of initial statements. First saying that it had been under pressure from the state department, then retracting, and claiming it had acted on it’s own, that there was no intervention from the government. This somewhat let the cat out of bag…

It seems to me that the actions of these financial institutions is worrying, in so much that they are de facto gatekeepers to the will of people to fund causes (causes which haven’t violated laws, but have certainly challenged the power of governments..), but it is not altogether surprising. They are operating in an environment in which punitive actions can be taken against them. Given their prodigious unpopularity, it seems unlikely that public sentiment would move to help them if stepped out of line.

Far more worrying are the quiet actions of the likes of Amazon (denying hosting), Facebook (blacklisting links, locking pages), Google (taking down YouTube videos), Twitter (controversial, but a trend algorithm that can ignore a hashtag as hot as #wikileaks / #cablegate is broken), wikipedia (removing a list of wikileaks mirrors), various ISP, and service providers, etc. Although i’m willing to believe that the US government has high level connections at some of these internet companies, the more reasonable conclusion is that they are actually self-consoring.

It is worthwhile considering why this might be happening. The obvious reason who be that they fear the imposition of genuine censorship, and the resulting public backlash. If they don’t act first and regulate themselves, they can expect to find zealous congressmen / senators (yes Lieberman, i’m talking about you) encumbering them with ill considered (and unenforcible?) legislation, and attacks from the (government directed) press. Another possibility is that they consider their users to be significantly sympathetic to the official message (ie, stupid and brainwashed enough to believe that not knowing is better for them…) that action will lose them less users than inaction.

There is, in my not particularly humble opinion, a worrying trend of commercialization among the internet digerati. This is nothing particularly new, and in fact has been the goal of many internet entrepreneurs for many years; “monetize the web”. However, this has always been balanced by an idealistic (yes, i know it’s a dirty word in a capitalist world) element fighting to hold onto the initial vision of the web as a democratizing / unifying platform for the free and open sharing of information.

If anything positive is going to come out of the current situation surrounding Wikileaks / Bradley Manning it has to be that more people are willing to take a stand against the increasing centralization of information under corporate / commercial control. It seems likely that the battle for the mass-market has already been lost, but the initial skirmishes of a resistance movement are already visible in projects like Tor, YaCy, Diaspora.

Whether it’s still possible to carve channels of free communication through the grey goo of the commercial ‘net probably depends on the actions and support of people like, dear reader, you and i.