Trends

Couple of questions:

1. how good a fit is that curve (chi squared, etc.)?

2. what does it mean that the intensity of the quakes is once again increasing?

Maybe it’s just a point of definition, but it doesn’t seem good that our after shocks are not following the Gutenberg-Richter law. At some point you’d have to start to ask when yesterdays and today aftershocks become tomorrows pre-shocks? Maybe that isn’t a reasonable question. However, over the period of the last ten days it has certainly felt like a decline in activity, but things have really picked up in the last 48 hours.

Predicting seismic activity is still more of an art than a science, but it would be interesting to hear what seismologists are making of this ongoing event.